Oregon Health Authority: Weekly Case Count Has “Plateaued”

SALEM, Ore. (AP) – Health officials say Oregon’s weekly case count has plateaued following statewide COVID-19 restrictions implemented during the last two months.

But authorities urged Oregonians to continue to follow current mandates, including wearing a mask and avoiding large social gatherings.

Here’s the OHA’s newest modeling of the virus:

The model projects that:

• If transmission continues at the current level during the next month, the estimated number of new daily infections will remain steady over the next four weeks at approximately 1,000 per day, and the number of daily new severe cases will increase slightly from 17 to 19.
• If transmission decreases by 10 percent and continues at that level during the next month, the model projects approximately 300 new infections per day and 9 new severe cases per day by Aug. 27.
• If transmission increases by 10 percent and continues at that level during the next month, the model projects approximately 2,300 new infections per day and 32 new severe cases per day by Aug. 27.

The results suggest that transmission increased substantially during May, then decreased somewhat in late June and early July. The model estimates the Re is currently about 1.0.